January 27, 2004
Playing the Primary Game
This is a guess. Just Left of Center is performing a test of his 'Who'll win the primary' system. If I could actually pick the winner, I would be on CNN or, at least MSNBC. This is only a guess.
I think it's pretty sure Kerry will walk away a winner, but his win will be diminished after the Iowa 'surprise'. Apparently, if you're supposed to win, and you DO win, it's a sign of weakness. Or some such.
I'm going to go out on a limb and say Clark will come in second. Mostly because, even though NH is close to Dean's old VT stomping grounds, NH tends to be more conservative and I think Clark's message will sell better there.
Dean will come in third, then Edwards.
Everyone else should drop out.
******** Update: I was wrong about Cark. Very Wrong about Clark.